1,Raws li kev tshawb fawb tuam txhab Kearney, Asmeskas cov khoom siv hluav taws xob (xws li cov khoom siv) cov khoom lag luam rov qab tau txog $ 250 billion.
Cov xov xwm hais txog cov khoom siv hluav taws xob tsis yog qhov nws tau ua.Yav dhau los, muaj kev sib tham dav dav ntawm "kev xa khoom tsis txaus" thiab "kev cuam tshuam kev xa khoom", tab sis tam sim no muaj kev sib tham ntau ntxiv ntawm "cov khoom muag ntau" thiab "yuav ua li cas siv cov khoom muag".Cov tuam txhab hluav taws xob thiab cov khoom siv khoom siv tau nyuam qhuav tawm ntawm "qhov tseem ceeb tsis txaus" thiab tom qab ntawd raug kev txom nyem rov qab los tom qab kev yuav khoom.Raws li Kearney, ib lub tuam txhab tshawb fawb, Asmeskas cov khoom siv hluav taws xob rov qab, suav nrog cov khoom, tau txog $ 250 billion.
Qhov tseeb, qhov tsis hloov pauv tau pib thaum lub sijhawm COVID-19 kis thoob qhov txhia chaw, thaum cov khoom xa tawm deb dhau kev tswj hwm.Nyob rau tib lub sijhawm, yam tsis muaj kev cia siab rau sab nraud tau cuam tshuam rau cov neeg siv khoom kev txiav txim siab yuav khoom.Piv txwv li, qhov kev xav tau ntawm kev sib txuas lus yog tsav kev nqis peev hauv kev ua haujlwm hauv tsev, thiab cov neeg siv khoom tau sim ua kom muaj kev kaw ntau dua los ntawm kev yuav khoom siv hluav taws xob xws li TVS, cov khoom siv hauv tsev me, cov khoom siv dag zog, smartphones, thiab ntsiav tshuaj.Cov kev hloov no, ua ke nrog cov nyhuv bullwhip, muaj kev cuam tshuam ntev rau cov khoom siv hluav taws xob hauv xyoo tom ntej.
Kev lag luam hluav taws xob tsis muaj qhov txawv txav rau lub voj voog tawg, tab sis tus kab mob coronavirus pandemic yog qhov tshwm sim tsis tau muaj dua, thiab txawm tias muaj cov txheej txheem kev kwv yees zoo thiab cov txheej txheem tswj cov khoom muag, kev lag luam tau npaj tsis zoo rau kev cuam tshuam cov khoom lag luam thiab cov tseem ceeb tsis txaus.Hauv kev pom ntawm PS Subramaniam, tus khub hauv Kearney Txoj Haujlwm Kev Ua Haujlwm thiab Kev Ua Haujlwm Zoo, qhov kev thov txuas ntxiv rau cov roj teeb tsheb hluav taws xob thiab AI chips tuaj yeem ua rau lub voj voog zoo sib xws "boom-bust".
2. Yuav ua li cas kev lag luam hluav taws xob yuav kov yeej kev lag luam volatility?
· Ua ntej kev kwv yees
Kev txiav txim tus cwj pwm hauv cov khoom xa khoom yog kom tau raws li qhov xav tau yav tom ntej, thiab nws qhov tseeb feem ntau yog nyob ntawm qhov tseeb ntawm kev kwv yees.Niaj hnub no, "cov ntaub ntawv sib koom" hauv cov khoom siv hluav taws xob tau nce zuj zus, thiab cov cuab yeej xws li kev txawj ntse (AI) thiab kev kawm tshuab (ML) yog cov ntaub ntawv zoo tshaj plaws hauv kev tshawb fawb.Qhov kev kwv yees tsis raug ntawm kev thov tuaj yeem ua rau kev txiav txim tsis zoo thiab tsis tsim nyog tus nqi.Qhov tseeb, cov cim qhia ntxov ntawm cov khoom muag ntau dhau, xws li cov neeg siv khoom overordering, tuaj yeem pab cov saw hlau los npaj (thaum muaj kev txiav txim ntau dhau ntawm qee qhov ntawm cov khoom siv, kev ceeb toom ntxov tuaj yeem ua thiab ntsuas tsim nyog yuav tsum tau ua kom tsis txhob muaj peev xwm ua tau. Qhov kev ceeb toom ntxov no tso cai rau cov saw hlau los npaj cov khoom lag luam thiab kev faib tawm yav tom ntej kom tau raws li cov neeg siv khoom xav tau thiab zam qhov tsis tsim nyog poob).
Nrog rau kev kwv yees zoo ib yam, cov khoom siv hluav taws xob siv hluav taws xob tuaj yeem siv nyiaj rau "txiav ntug" yam, xws li cov khoom lag luam zoo dua, cov neeg ua haujlwm tau txais kev cob qhia, thiab txhim kho kev txiav txim kom raug los ntawm kev txheeb xyuas cov ntaub ntawv tiam sis tsis yog tsim, tswj, thiab txheeb xyuas cov khoom muag.
· Txais automation
Tam sim no ntau cov khoom siv saw hlau tau dhau los ua kev hloov pauv digital.Tej zaum koj yuav xav tias kev lag luam hluav taws xob yog nyob rau hauv pem hauv ntej ntawm kev hloov pauv digital, tab sis cov kws tshaj lij tseem tab tom tsav kev sib koom ua ke ntawm cov cuab yeej pab neeg ua haujlwm thiab cov cuab yeej sau cov ntaub ntawv.Cov thev naus laus zis no tso cai rau cov neeg siv khoom sib txuas kom paub ntau ntxiv txog dab tsi yog lossis yuav dhau los.
Cov khoom siv hluav taws xob cov khoom siv hluav taws xob yuav tsum tau txheeb xyuas los ntawm cov khoom lag luam overstocked, thiab "kev npaj tshem tawm" hauv kev tsim khoom tuaj yeem nqa cov khoom thiab cov khoom tiav tawm ntawm kev ua lag luam, txawm tias lawv yog hom tshiab.Nrog automation thiab ntse technology stacks, cov thawj coj tuaj yeem tau txais cov ntaub ntawv sai dua ntawm cov khoom thiab cov khoom yuav tawm ntawm lub neej, pab cov neeg ua si thoob plaws hauv cov saw hlau kom pom kev zoo ib yam.Tau kawg, kev siv cov neeg hlau los luam theej duab thiab faib cov khoom muag hauv warehouses yuav ntxiv cov khoom muag tuav cov nqi.
· Tsom ntsoov rau cov neeg siv khoom ua ntej
Cov saw hlau yuav tsum xav txog "yuav ua li cas lawv tuaj yeem kwv yees qhov xav tau nrog kev kwv yees ntxiv thiab kev pom ntawm cov neeg siv khoom."Txawm hais tias kev yuav cov neeg ua haujlwm lossis cov thawj coj, cov neeg ua si hauv cov khoom siv yuav tsum tau tshuaj xyuas cov ncauj lus ntau ntxiv thiab txheeb xyuas cov kev sib txuas ntawm cov qauv sib txawv.
Piv txwv li, kev nce nqi yog hloov txoj kev niaj hnub cov neeg yuav khoom.Cov neeg tsis txaus siab yuav cov khoom kim, thiab cov khoom siv hluav taws xob zoo li yuav raug nqi siab dua.Peb tuaj yeem cia siab tias qhov kev hloov no ua ntej li cas?Ntawm cov no, kev kwv yees kev noj qab haus huv hauv tebchaws tuaj yeem yog qhov siv tau zoo, thiab lwm yam kev txiav txim siab yog nyob ntawm tus nqi sib txawv.
Qub Navy, piv txwv li, pom tau hais tias nws tau overstocking thaum nws pib ua ntau qhov sib xyaw nrog cov neeg siv khoom tseem ceeb sab nraum kev lag luam hauv siab - ntau haiv neeg, kev ncaj ncees, thiab kev suav nrog - tab sis tsis muaj cov ntaub ntawv muag khoom cuam tshuam nrog qhov ntau thiab tsawg los rov qab.Thaum qhov kev txav mus los yog lub hom phiaj zoo, nws tau ua rau cov khaub ncaws tsis tuaj yeem thiab tsim cov khoom pov tseg ntau.
Kev lag luam hluav taws xob tuaj yeem kawm los ntawm cov piv txwv saum toj no los txiav txim siab seb cov neeg siv khoom puas kam them ntau dua rau cov khoom lag luam ruaj khov hauv cov ntsiab lus ntawm lub ntiaj teb tsom mus rau kev ruaj ntseg.Puas muaj cov ntaub ntawv muaj los qhia rau cov thawj coj txiav txim siab?
· Tshaj tawm cov khoom muag overhang
Tsis tas li ntawd, Kearney kuj tau teev cov kev nqis tes ua luv luv thiab mus sij hawm ntev uas cov tuam txhab lag luam tuaj yeem ua los txwv kev loj hlob ntawm cov khoom muag thiab kho cov khoom lag luam qib:
Cov kev ua tsis ntev los no:
Tsim kom muaj cov khoom muag "chav ua rog";
Txhim kho cov khoom muag pom tau (sab hauv thiab sab nraud);
Txo cov khoom xa tuaj (tso tseg / tso tseg kev txiav txim);
Tshem tawm cov khoom lag luam ntau dhau thiab siv tsis tau (rov qab mus rau cov neeg muag khoom, muag rau cov neeg nruab nrab);
Sib tham nrog cov neeg siv khoom kom hloov cov khoom muag ntau dhau / tau txais nyiaj ntsuab ua ntej.
Lub sijhawm ua haujlwm ntev:
Txhim kho cov qauv kev ua haujlwm, suav nrog kev txhawb nqa peev nyiaj ua haujlwm;
Pib dua qhov kev npaj tsis tau;
Txhim kho kev muaj peev xwm kwv yees;
Tsav kev muag khoom loj hlob;
Kev hloov pauv ntawm kev xa khoom, kev tsim khoom thiab kev xa tawm network.
Hauv cov ntsiab lus, cov khoom lag luam cov khoom lag luam ntau dhau tuaj yeem txo tus nqi ntawm cov khoom thiab cov khoom siv, uas tsis tsim nyog rau kev lag luam txuas ntxiv ntawm cov khoom lag luam thiab cov tuam txhab tsim khoom, thiab txhim kho cov ntaub ntawv sib qhia thiab kev xav tau ntawm cov teeb liab xav tau tuaj yeem muaj txiaj ntsig rau tag nrho cov khoom siv hluav taws xob.
Post lub sij hawm: Dec-26-2023